← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.38+5.02vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.12+6.66vs Predicted
-
3Tulane University2.04+4.33vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.92+1.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.78+0.72vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.19+4.01vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.08+0.60vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.39vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.21vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.71-1.37vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.58-1.63vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.12-4.79vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.88-1.57vs Predicted
-
14Brown University1.72-4.74vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.02Dartmouth College2.3810.2%1st Place
-
8.66Harvard University2.125.5%1st Place
-
7.33Tulane University2.047.6%1st Place
-
5.03Yale University2.9213.6%1st Place
-
5.72University of Rhode Island2.7811.2%1st Place
-
10.01University of South Florida1.193.3%1st Place
-
7.6Bowdoin College2.087.0%1st Place
-
6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.179.0%1st Place
-
7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.936.7%1st Place
-
8.63Northeastern University1.714.9%1st Place
-
9.37University of Vermont1.583.9%1st Place
-
7.21Tufts University2.128.1%1st Place
-
11.43Connecticut College0.881.5%1st Place
-
9.26Brown University1.723.8%1st Place
-
9.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.413.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Michels | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Thad Lettsome | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.6% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Maks Groom | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Will Priebe | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% |
| Connell Phillipps | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 30.4% |
| Jed Bell | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.