Race 4A

31st-captain-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Daniel Unangst 8.2% 8.6% 8.0% 8.6% 7.3% 8.2% 7.5% 7.4% 6.5% 7.4% 7.4% 5.1% 4.9% 3.7% 1.4%
Christopher Lukens 5.8% 7.0% 6.2% 7.3% 8.6% 6.9% 6.7% 8.5% 8.4% 7.6% 6.5% 7.3% 5.9% 4.7% 2.6%
William Michels 10.0% 10.2% 10.4% 10.5% 9.4% 9.7% 7.8% 7.9% 6.5% 5.2% 3.6% 3.9% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6%
Maks Groom 6.8% 6.2% 6.4% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 8.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.4% 6.7% 6.9% 5.5% 2.9%
Trevor Davis 8.9% 7.3% 7.8% 6.6% 7.7% 7.4% 6.8% 8.0% 7.5% 7.6% 7.0% 6.3% 6.0% 3.5% 1.7%
Teddy Nicolosi 16.0% 13.1% 12.7% 11.5% 8.9% 8.1% 8.2% 5.8% 5.1% 3.8% 2.9% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2%
Jed Bell 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 4.7% 5.7% 6.9% 6.0% 7.0% 6.5% 7.5% 9.4% 9.4% 10.6% 8.6%
Will Priebe 4.7% 4.5% 5.8% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 6.2% 6.9% 7.4% 7.1% 8.2% 7.4% 7.6% 8.8% 6.6%
William Weinbecker 3.3% 4.0% 3.5% 4.6% 4.9% 5.7% 5.6% 6.1% 6.9% 8.0% 7.7% 9.9% 8.6% 10.7% 10.7%
Connell Phillipps 4.3% 5.5% 4.6% 4.5% 4.8% 5.1% 5.4% 7.3% 7.0% 7.5% 8.0% 8.3% 9.4% 10.3% 8.0%
Ryan Mckinney 2.1% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.1% 5.5% 5.3% 6.8% 10.3% 14.4% 31.1%
Thad Lettsome 7.5% 7.1% 7.1% 7.2% 7.3% 7.4% 7.9% 7.3% 7.0% 7.2% 8.0% 6.9% 6.0% 3.9% 1.9%
Humberto Porrata 3.5% 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.0% 7.9% 9.0% 9.8% 12.2% 16.2%
Kerem Erkmen 10.5% 10.9% 11.2% 9.6% 10.4% 9.2% 8.1% 7.2% 7.1% 4.5% 4.8% 2.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Dylan Ascencios 4.4% 5.8% 5.3% 6.3% 5.5% 6.5% 6.2% 5.9% 6.5% 7.9% 7.0% 8.0% 9.4% 8.3% 7.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.