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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+6.88vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.60+4.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.99+5.71vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.55+2.67vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.88vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+2.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45-0.66vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.25-4.61vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas0.88-0.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-2.72vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97+0.07vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.87-4.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-5.16vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.30+0.48vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-3.86vs Predicted
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17The Citadel-0.41-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.88Tufts University1.516.6%1st Place
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6.27Boston College1.6010.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island0.995.3%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University1.559.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.6%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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6.29Brown University2.2210.1%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida1.458.2%1st Place
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4.39Yale University2.2516.4%1st Place
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9.7University of Saint Thomas0.883.2%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.2%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University0.971.9%1st Place
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8.89Clemson University0.874.2%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.1%1st Place
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15.48Princeton University-1.300.5%1st Place
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12.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.031.6%1st Place
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13.78The Citadel-0.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 16.4% | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Emma Wang | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 8.3% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 16.2% | 57.6% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 7.9% |
| Henry Parker | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 26.8% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.