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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+6.84vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.92+2.86vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+3.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+2.05vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+3.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+0.24vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.63+1.76vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.34-2.08vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College4.15-2.05vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.61-1.31vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.56-1.88vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.53-2.91vs Predicted
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14Tufts University4.33-6.84vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida4.10-6.96vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.57-0.59vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-6.38vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.48-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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4.86Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.25Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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9.76University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.95SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.69Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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10.12Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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10.09Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.04University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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15.41Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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13.67Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.1% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Robert Vann | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Joshua Leighton | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Halsey Richartz | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.4% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 2.6% |
| Carl Shorett | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Tomas Hornos | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 13.5% | 61.3% |
| Gary Herring | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 3.5% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 28.5% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.