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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+7.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+7.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.41+6.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.91vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+3.61vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.38+0.03vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.58+1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-3.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-3.24vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-3.15vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.19-1.95vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.08-5.41vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.04-6.72vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.88-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.79Harvard University2.124.8%1st Place
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9.2Brown University1.723.6%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.414.3%1st Place
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4.91Yale University2.9216.0%1st Place
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8.61Northeastern University1.714.4%1st Place
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6.03Dartmouth College2.3811.2%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University2.127.5%1st Place
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9.13University of Vermont1.584.2%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island2.7811.0%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.178.5%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.935.9%1st Place
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10.05University of South Florida1.193.5%1st Place
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7.59Bowdoin College2.086.3%1st Place
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7.28Tulane University2.046.7%1st Place
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11.5Connecticut College0.882.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Jed Bell | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 16.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Will Priebe | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| William Michels | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Connell Phillipps | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Maks Groom | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.6% |
| Christopher Lukens | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Thad Lettsome | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.