← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University1.07+8.28vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.51vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.86+3.57vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy2.05+2.14vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University1.55+3.45vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.67+0.72vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.87vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University1.42+0.54vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College1.08+0.83vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida0.90-0.77vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College0.43+0.09vs Predicted
-
12Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-3.40vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-4.66vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island1.38-5.56vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.05-5.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.28Northeastern University1.073.6%1st Place
-
4.51Yale University2.5518.5%1st Place
-
6.57Brown University1.868.9%1st Place
-
6.14U. S. Military Academy2.059.1%1st Place
-
8.45Harvard University1.554.5%1st Place
-
6.72Tufts University1.678.5%1st Place
-
5.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3213.0%1st Place
-
8.54Tulane University1.424.6%1st Place
-
9.83Bowdoin College1.083.9%1st Place
-
9.23University of South Florida0.904.5%1st Place
-
11.09Connecticut College0.432.6%1st Place
-
8.6Palm Beach Atlantic University1.264.5%1st Place
-
8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.554.8%1st Place
-
8.44University of Rhode Island1.384.4%1st Place
-
9.14University of Vermont1.054.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.5% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| James Paul | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| John Eastman | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| William Keenan | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 14.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 27.8% |
| Thomas Green | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Elliott | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.