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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.55+3.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.12vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.42+5.45vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.08+5.91vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy2.05+1.00vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.55+2.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67-0.16vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.07+1.19vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.38-1.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.86-4.54vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.90-2.82vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-4.73vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.05-4.73vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.43-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63Yale University2.5515.8%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3213.6%1st Place
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8.45Tulane University1.425.2%1st Place
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9.91Bowdoin College1.083.5%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Military Academy2.0510.7%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University1.554.7%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University1.678.0%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University1.074.5%1st Place
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8.49Palm Beach Atlantic University1.264.7%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island1.384.9%1st Place
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6.46Brown University1.869.7%1st Place
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9.18University of South Florida0.903.9%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.2%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont1.053.6%1st Place
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11.2Connecticut College0.432.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| William Keenan | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% |
| James Paul | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| John Eastman | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% |
| Thomas Green | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.