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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+8.17vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.53+7.99vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida4.10+4.92vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+1.09vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+1.90vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.26vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.33+0.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-1.06vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+1.69vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston4.34-3.06vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.63-2.13vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.61-3.23vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.18vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27-7.60vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.57-0.57vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.48-3.32vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.56-7.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
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7.92University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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5.09Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.06Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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6.94College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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9.87University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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9.77Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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7.82SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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15.43Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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13.68Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.08Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Carl Shorett | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Canfield | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gary Herring | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Halsey Richartz | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 61.1% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 27.7% | 21.2% |
| Ryan Pesch | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.