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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+5.75vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.25+2.52vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.60+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+4.69vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+1.31vs Predicted
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6Clemson University0.87+2.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+0.34vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-1.35vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.97+1.82vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.45-3.60vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-3.16vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.86vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.41-0.12vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.30+0.39vs Predicted
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16University of Saint Thomas0.88-6.19vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.22-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Roger Williams University1.559.9%1st Place
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4.52Yale University2.2516.8%1st Place
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6.42Boston College1.608.8%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island0.994.9%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.228.9%1st Place
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8.89Clemson University0.874.8%1st Place
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7.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.5%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.5%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University1.516.8%1st Place
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11.82Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
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7.4University of South Florida1.457.4%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.7%1st Place
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12.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.1%1st Place
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13.88The Citadel-0.410.8%1st Place
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15.39Princeton University-1.300.7%1st Place
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9.81University of Saint Thomas0.883.3%1st Place
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8.43Northeastern University1.225.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 16.8% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emma Wang | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Clark Morris | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 6.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 16.2% | 7.8% |
| Henry Parker | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 26.4% | 23.1% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 17.2% | 56.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.