← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.42+7.51vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.65vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.67+3.91vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Military Academy2.05+2.03vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.07+4.30vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.86+0.53vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+1.19vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida0.90+1.27vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.90vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University1.55-1.45vs Predicted
-
11Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-2.32vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island1.38-3.60vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.05-4.02vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.08-4.12vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College0.43-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.51Tulane University1.424.7%1st Place
-
4.65Yale University2.5517.3%1st Place
-
6.91Tufts University1.677.8%1st Place
-
6.03U. S. Military Academy2.059.4%1st Place
-
9.3Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
-
6.53Brown University1.869.4%1st Place
-
8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.9%1st Place
-
9.27University of South Florida0.904.0%1st Place
-
5.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3214.1%1st Place
-
8.55Harvard University1.555.4%1st Place
-
8.68Palm Beach Atlantic University1.263.9%1st Place
-
8.4University of Rhode Island1.385.1%1st Place
-
8.98University of Vermont1.053.9%1st Place
-
9.88Bowdoin College1.083.1%1st Place
-
11.03Connecticut College0.432.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Keenan | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Eastman | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| James Paul | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% |
| Thomas Green | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% |
| Andrew Powers | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.