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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John McGlynn 31.4% 24.5% 17.7% 12.2% 7.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Tommy Holmberg 21.8% 21.6% 17.8% 15.2% 11.3% 7.1% 2.9% 1.7% 0.6%
Karl Ryder 5.5% 6.1% 10.2% 10.6% 10.8% 15.7% 16.3% 16.7% 8.1%
Rinchen Harrison 9.6% 12.9% 12.9% 14.0% 16.7% 11.1% 12.0% 8.0% 2.8%
Will Humphrey 9.6% 13.0% 14.4% 13.4% 12.8% 12.8% 11.4% 8.3% 4.3%
Terry Duncan 8.8% 7.5% 11.7% 12.3% 14.5% 15.1% 15.5% 9.8% 4.8%
Austin Smyth 3.9% 3.8% 3.0% 6.7% 8.4% 11.1% 14.0% 25.2% 23.9%
Jorge Castro 2.0% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 7.7% 10.2% 17.2% 49.3%
Jared Dunn 7.4% 8.2% 9.1% 12.1% 13.3% 15.3% 15.7% 12.7% 6.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.