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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Wesleyan University2.71+0.61vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire1.52+1.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12+1.58vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.55-0.47vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.35-1.08vs Predicted
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7Bates College2.43-3.98vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.51-1.31vs Predicted
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9Williams College-0.03-1.51vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University1.25-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
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4.93University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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5.58Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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4.53Maine Maritime Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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4.92Middlebury College1.350.1%1st Place
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3.02Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.69University of Connecticut0.510.0%1st Place
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7.49Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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5.22Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John McGlynn | 32.2% | 24.7% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 14.0% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Karl Ryder | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 8.4% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 2.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 5.8% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 22.8% | 23.7% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Austin Smyth | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 25.1% | 23.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 49.1% |
| Jared Dunn | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.