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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.55+7.62vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38+6.22vs Predicted
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3Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+5.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.86+2.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.98vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.92vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.08+2.98vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.67-0.98vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.55-4.60vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.42-1.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.60+0.04vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.90-2.65vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-4.72vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.07-4.64vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62Harvard University1.554.8%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island1.385.5%1st Place
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8.57Palm Beach Atlantic University1.265.1%1st Place
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6.65Brown University1.868.2%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Military Academy2.0510.7%1st Place
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5.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.3214.7%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College1.083.1%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University1.676.7%1st Place
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4.4Yale University2.5517.3%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University1.424.9%1st Place
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11.04Connecticut College0.602.0%1st Place
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9.35University of South Florida0.903.7%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.555.0%1st Place
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9.36Northeastern University1.074.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont1.054.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Hansen | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Jonathan Riley | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Thomas Green | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| James Paul | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 14.7% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Chance | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| John Eastman | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.3% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Keenan | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 26.2% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% |
| Matthew Elliott | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Joshua Dillon | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.