Race 3A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
John McGlynn 31.5% 22.7% 20.5% 12.2% 6.5% 4.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Tommy Holmberg 20.8% 22.6% 18.1% 14.7% 10.5% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
Will Humphrey 8.1% 12.0% 10.8% 14.7% 14.2% 12.4% 15.3% 9.0% 3.5%
Austin Smyth 3.2% 3.7% 5.7% 8.5% 8.0% 11.1% 15.1% 22.1% 22.6%
Karl Ryder 6.7% 9.0% 11.8% 9.9% 11.7% 13.1% 14.9% 14.0% 8.9%
Jared Dunn 7.7% 7.5% 10.1% 10.9% 14.1% 15.6% 15.3% 12.1% 6.7%
Rinchen Harrison 10.1% 11.1% 10.4% 13.2% 16.9% 14.7% 11.2% 9.4% 3.0%
Terry Duncan 9.1% 9.1% 10.0% 11.3% 14.4% 14.4% 13.6% 11.1% 7.0%
Jorge Castro 2.8% 2.3% 2.6% 4.6% 3.7% 7.1% 9.1% 20.0% 47.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.