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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+4.33vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+3.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.90+2.81vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.50+3.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.07+3.88vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.73+3.49vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+1.36vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.80-1.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.51-1.15vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+1.94vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.84-4.72vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.97-2.86vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-4.92vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.94-4.71vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.32-2.09vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.33Boston College2.0212.2%1st Place
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5.11Brown University2.2213.2%1st Place
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5.81Yale University1.9011.5%1st Place
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7.24Fordham University1.507.8%1st Place
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8.88Boston College1.074.5%1st Place
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9.49Fairfield University0.733.1%1st Place
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8.36Salve Regina University1.315.4%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island1.807.9%1st Place
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7.85Tufts University1.516.2%1st Place
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11.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.8%1st Place
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6.28Bowdoin College1.8410.9%1st Place
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9.14Boston University0.973.5%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.245.5%1st Place
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9.29Dartmouth College0.944.2%1st Place
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12.91Harvard University-0.321.3%1st Place
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13.51Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 12.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Sih | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 16.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Alex Abate | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Aidan Pesce | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 20.1% | 29.3% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.