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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+7.02vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+3.17vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.50+4.35vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College0.94+5.31vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22-0.19vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.90-0.10vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.97+2.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-1.61vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+2.92vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.73-0.39vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-2.96vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.07-3.12vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.80-6.29vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.32-1.01vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-6.56vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.245.8%1st Place
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5.17Boston College2.0214.2%1st Place
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7.35Fordham University1.506.1%1st Place
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9.31Dartmouth College0.943.5%1st Place
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4.81Brown University2.2215.2%1st Place
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5.9Yale University1.9010.5%1st Place
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9.1Boston University0.974.5%1st Place
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6.39Bowdoin College1.848.3%1st Place
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11.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.7%1st Place
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9.61Fairfield University0.733.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University1.515.9%1st Place
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8.88Boston College1.075.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Rhode Island1.808.8%1st Place
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12.99Harvard University-0.321.4%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University1.315.0%1st Place
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13.36Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Abate | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 14.2% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Mason Stang | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Pesce | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 20.9% | 31.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 36.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.