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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+4.13vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.25vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.97+6.38vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.80+2.82vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.51+3.08vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.90-0.18vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+1.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24+0.07vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.32+3.98vs Predicted
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10Fairfield University0.73-0.34vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College0.94-1.81vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.23vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.22-8.05vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-0.78vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.07-6.02vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.50-8.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Boston College2.0213.6%1st Place
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6.25Bowdoin College1.849.1%1st Place
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9.38Boston University0.972.9%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island1.807.8%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.515.9%1st Place
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5.82Yale University1.9011.5%1st Place
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8.41Salve Regina University1.315.5%1st Place
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8.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.246.2%1st Place
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12.98Harvard University-0.321.6%1st Place
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9.66Fairfield University0.733.3%1st Place
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9.19Dartmouth College0.944.3%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.8%1st Place
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4.95Brown University2.2214.3%1st Place
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13.22Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.1%1st Place
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8.98Boston College1.073.9%1st Place
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7.29Fordham University1.507.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 13.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Sih | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Alex Abate | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Aidan Pesce | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 20.3% | 32.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| Mason Stang | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 19.1% | 36.6% |
| Francis Selldorff | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.