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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+7.07vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+3.82vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College0.94+6.15vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.73+5.78vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.50+2.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.07+2.90vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31+1.38vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.02-2.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-1.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.22-4.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03+0.85vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.80-5.24vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.84-6.71vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.97-4.90vs Predicted
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15Harvard University-0.32-1.93vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Tufts University1.514.7%1st Place
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5.82Yale University1.9011.2%1st Place
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9.15Dartmouth College0.943.4%1st Place
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9.78Fairfield University0.733.6%1st Place
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7.29Fordham University1.507.8%1st Place
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8.9Boston College1.074.7%1st Place
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8.38Salve Regina University1.315.2%1st Place
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5.18Boston College2.0212.8%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.245.0%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.2215.0%1st Place
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11.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.8%1st Place
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6.76University of Rhode Island1.808.5%1st Place
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6.29Bowdoin College1.849.2%1st Place
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9.1Boston University0.974.7%1st Place
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13.07Harvard University-0.321.6%1st Place
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13.45Florida Institute of Technology-0.290.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Sih | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Connor Bennett | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Francis Selldorff | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Abate | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Mason Stang | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 15.8% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Aidan Pesce | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 21.9% | 31.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 20.5% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.