Race 8A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tommy Holmberg 25.9% 20.9% 18.7% 14.7% 9.4% 6.8% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
John McGlynn 30.0% 24.7% 18.5% 12.5% 7.9% 3.3% 1.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Rinchen Harrison 9.3% 11.5% 13.0% 14.8% 15.0% 14.8% 11.3% 8.3% 2.0%
Terry Duncan 8.1% 11.9% 10.6% 14.8% 14.3% 12.7% 13.3% 10.9% 3.4%
Karl Ryder 6.9% 8.6% 12.1% 11.5% 13.1% 14.1% 13.4% 11.5% 8.8%
Will Humphrey 9.8% 10.5% 14.1% 13.5% 16.4% 15.2% 11.9% 6.3% 2.3%
Dan Marks 3.8% 4.6% 4.3% 8.9% 9.9% 12.8% 16.3% 23.0% 16.4%
Austin Smyth 3.5% 4.5% 5.5% 5.4% 10.0% 11.4% 18.0% 20.1% 21.6%
Jorge Castro 2.7% 2.8% 3.2% 3.9% 4.0% 8.9% 11.0% 18.2% 45.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.