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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.43+1.93vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University2.71-0.37vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.52+0.56vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.35-0.28vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.12-0.89vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.55-2.56vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.07-0.81vs Predicted
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9Williams College-0.03-1.73vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.61-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Bates College2.430.3%1st Place
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2.63Wesleyan University2.710.3%1st Place
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4.56University of New Hampshire1.520.1%1st Place
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4.72Middlebury College1.350.1%1st Place
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5.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.120.1%1st Place
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4.44Maine Maritime Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Connecticut0.070.0%1st Place
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7.27Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.17Brandeis University0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 26.2% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 30.4% | 25.5% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Humphrey | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Terry Duncan | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 2.7% |
| Karl Ryder | 6.9% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 6.3% |
| Rinchen Harrison | 10.5% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Lyndsay Stockwell | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 25.0% | 34.0% |
| Jorge Castro | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 20.1% | 39.5% |
| Dan Marks | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.