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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+7.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.90+3.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+2.01vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.50+3.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+0.26vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.73+3.59vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.84-0.70vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.97+1.19vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.07+0.10vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College0.94-0.97vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.24-3.13vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.80-5.12vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.51-4.88vs Predicted
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14Harvard University-0.32-1.04vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-1.65vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Salve Regina University1.315.1%1st Place
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5.65Yale University1.9011.7%1st Place
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5.01Brown University2.2214.2%1st Place
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7.27Fordham University1.508.0%1st Place
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5.26Boston College2.0213.2%1st Place
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9.59Fairfield University0.732.8%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College1.849.7%1st Place
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9.19Boston University0.975.4%1st Place
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9.1Boston College1.073.8%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College0.943.8%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.246.2%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island1.808.2%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University1.514.5%1st Place
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12.96Harvard University-0.320.8%1st Place
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13.35Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.1%1st Place
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11.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.031.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bennett | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Redmond | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Francis Selldorff | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Ryan Goldstein | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Alex Abate | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Declan Botwinick | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Rosow | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Pesce | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 21.5% | 30.3% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 20.3% | 35.5% |
| Andy Leshaw | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.