Race 10A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tommy Holmberg 26.3% 21.1% 19.5% 13.7% 10.0% 6.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
John McGlynn 29.0% 25.8% 20.3% 11.9% 6.4% 4.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
Will Humphrey 9.0% 12.6% 12.1% 14.8% 16.3% 14.9% 12.3% 6.4% 1.6%
Karl Ryder 6.8% 8.2% 10.4% 11.7% 15.0% 15.2% 14.6% 12.2% 5.9%
Terry Duncan 9.1% 11.0% 13.3% 13.4% 15.3% 12.2% 13.3% 8.3% 4.1%
Jorge Castro 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 4.5% 6.8% 8.2% 12.4% 24.8% 35.6%
Rinchen Harrison 10.5% 10.6% 12.3% 17.7% 15.6% 13.8% 10.4% 7.0% 2.1%
Dan Marks 4.2% 5.1% 5.3% 8.0% 9.4% 15.8% 18.4% 18.1% 15.7%
Lyndsay Stockwell 3.0% 2.9% 3.9% 4.3% 5.2% 9.4% 14.4% 22.1% 34.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.