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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.18+3.68vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.99+2.92vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.97+2.00vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.51+2.30vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.54+1.04vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College0.33+4.33vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.35-0.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.48+1.89vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.78-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05-1.89vs Predicted
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11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.23vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.83-2.92vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.42-3.04vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.14-2.89vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-2.31vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-1.03-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Yale University2.1814.5%1st Place
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4.92Brown University1.9914.1%1st Place
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5.0Boston College1.9712.7%1st Place
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6.3Bowdoin College1.519.2%1st Place
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6.04Fordham University1.5410.4%1st Place
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10.33Dartmouth College0.332.8%1st Place
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6.87Boston College1.357.0%1st Place
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9.89Boston University0.483.0%1st Place
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8.36Tufts University0.785.4%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island1.056.2%1st Place
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8.77Florida Institute of Technology0.734.0%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University0.834.8%1st Place
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9.96Fairfield University0.422.2%1st Place
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11.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.141.6%1st Place
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12.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.571.5%1st Place
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13.9Harvard University-1.030.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Thress | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Adam Strobridge | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Alexander Horne | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 7.0% |
| Michael Morley | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 20.8% | 25.2% |
| Jack Schwab | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 15.8% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.