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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+6.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+5.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+3.18vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.60+2.40vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.55+1.88vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.22+2.25vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45-0.64vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.25-4.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.99-1.35vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.96vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.94vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas0.88-3.26vs Predicted
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14The Citadel-0.41-0.17vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.30+0.31vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.87-7.03vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Tufts University1.517.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.735.9%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.2210.2%1st Place
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6.4Boston College1.609.0%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University1.557.8%1st Place
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8.25Northeastern University1.226.0%1st Place
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8.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.8%1st Place
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7.36University of South Florida1.457.0%1st Place
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4.55Yale University2.2518.2%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island0.995.5%1st Place
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11.96Salve Regina University0.972.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.5%1st Place
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9.74University of Saint Thomas0.883.8%1st Place
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13.83The Citadel-0.410.8%1st Place
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15.31Princeton University-1.300.4%1st Place
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8.97Clemson University0.874.2%1st Place
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12.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.031.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Luke Zylinski | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Mason Stang | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor McHugh | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Emma Wang | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 18.2% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 6.9% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Henry Parker | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 26.4% | 22.4% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 17.0% | 55.5% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.