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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.34+5.84vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+4.93vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+4.26vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+3.79vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.61+4.58vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.63+3.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.53+3.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.92-3.03vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida4.10-0.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.34-3.08vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-3.82vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.06-3.97vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-3.42vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.48-0.34vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.56-5.00vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.57-1.47vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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7.79SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.58Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
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10.12Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
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4.97Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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8.13University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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8.03Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
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13.66Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.0Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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15.53Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Benvenutti | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Tomas Hornos | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Halsey Richartz | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 1.9% |
| Carl Shorett | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 16.1% | 14.4% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Robert Vann | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Leighton | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 26.0% | 22.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 16.4% | 59.6% |
| Gary Herring | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.