← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.18+3.53vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.97+2.96vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.14+7.87vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.51+2.33vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island1.05+3.04vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University0.83+3.20vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.99-2.17vs Predicted
-
8Boston University0.48+1.68vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.35-2.07vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University0.42-0.10vs Predicted
-
11Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.02vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.54-5.81vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57-0.14vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University0.78-5.58vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College0.33-4.55vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University-1.03-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.53Yale University2.1815.7%1st Place
-
4.96Boston College1.9713.9%1st Place
-
10.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.142.7%1st Place
-
6.33Bowdoin College1.518.6%1st Place
-
8.04University of Rhode Island1.054.3%1st Place
-
9.2Salve Regina University0.833.1%1st Place
-
4.83Brown University1.9914.3%1st Place
-
9.68Boston University0.483.6%1st Place
-
6.93Boston College1.358.0%1st Place
-
9.9Fairfield University0.422.9%1st Place
-
8.98Florida Institute of Technology0.733.8%1st Place
-
6.19Fordham University1.549.2%1st Place
-
12.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.571.6%1st Place
-
8.42Tufts University0.785.2%1st Place
-
10.45Dartmouth College0.332.4%1st Place
-
13.84Harvard University-1.030.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Farina | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 13.9% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Horne | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Adam Strobridge | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Wiegand | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 3.2% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| Lucas Thress | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Morley | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 22.4% | 26.5% |
| Niall Sheridan | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Lapham | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 4.9% |
| Jack Schwab | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.