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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Middlebury College1.85+1.38vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+0.28vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.32+0.43vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University1.87-1.72vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.23vs Predicted
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7Williams College0.59-1.25vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire1.35-3.65vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.25-1.77vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.15-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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3.28Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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4.43Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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3.28Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.75Williams College0.590.1%1st Place
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4.35University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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7.07Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dragone | 21.1% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Hollister Poole | 19.2% | 22.2% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Edward Moan | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Baker | 21.6% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Smith | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 18.8% | 18.3% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 15.6% | 9.6% |
| William Dykes | 11.6% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 25.1% | 35.3% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 24.1% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.