Race 2B

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nicholas Dragone 19.0% 19.4% 15.9% 17.0% 12.7% 8.5% 5.6% 1.3% 0.6%
Edward Moan 8.7% 11.3% 13.8% 15.2% 17.3% 13.0% 11.6% 6.8% 2.3%
Brooke Baker 20.1% 18.9% 17.9% 14.8% 12.2% 8.9% 5.5% 1.5% 0.2%
Matthew Szekalslvi 2.2% 3.2% 3.2% 5.9% 5.2% 9.6% 14.2% 21.3% 35.2%
William Dykes 13.0% 14.7% 14.0% 13.6% 11.8% 15.0% 10.1% 5.6% 2.2%
Andrew Smith 3.5% 4.8% 6.0% 6.2% 9.9% 13.2% 18.3% 20.6% 17.5%
Brent Bomkamp 5.4% 5.8% 6.7% 9.3% 12.4% 14.6% 18.5% 18.8% 8.5%
Sarah Hyman 3.1% 2.8% 4.3% 3.2% 6.9% 10.0% 13.3% 23.1% 33.3%
Hollister Poole 25.0% 19.1% 18.2% 14.8% 11.6% 7.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.