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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.85+2.43vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy2.03+1.26vs Predicted
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4Wesleyan University1.87-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.35-0.77vs Predicted
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6Bates College1.32-1.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-0.69vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.15-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut-0.25-1.75vs Predicted
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10Williams College0.59-4.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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3.26Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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3.37Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.23University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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4.3Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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6.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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7.1Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.76Williams College0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Dragone | 19.8% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Hollister Poole | 19.0% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 11.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Brooke Baker | 21.6% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Dykes | 12.8% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Edward Moan | 11.4% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Smith | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 15.5% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 23.7% | 31.6% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 38.3% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.