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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.05+7.19vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.97+3.01vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+6.92vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.54+2.28vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College0.33+5.20vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.99-1.07vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51-0.64vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.18-3.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.35-2.14vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.57+2.97vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.14-0.05vs Predicted
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12Boston University0.48-2.38vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.40vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.78-5.62vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.83-5.75vs Predicted
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16Harvard University-1.03-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19University of Rhode Island1.055.0%1st Place
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5.01Boston College1.9714.8%1st Place
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9.92Fairfield University0.423.1%1st Place
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6.28Fordham University1.548.2%1st Place
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10.2Dartmouth College0.333.0%1st Place
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4.93Brown University1.9914.2%1st Place
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6.36Bowdoin College1.5110.2%1st Place
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4.67Yale University2.1815.2%1st Place
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6.86Boston College1.356.9%1st Place
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12.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.570.9%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.141.8%1st Place
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9.62Boston University0.483.4%1st Place
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8.6Florida Institute of Technology0.734.8%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University0.784.7%1st Place
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9.25Salve Regina University0.833.4%1st Place
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13.81Harvard University-1.030.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Strobridge | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Thress | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Griffin Lapham | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Katharine Doble | 14.2% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Farina | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Gigliotti | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Morley | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 23.5% | 26.0% |
| Alexander Horne | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
| William Wiegand | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Niall Sheridan | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Jack Schwab | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 18.6% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.