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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.87+2.39vs Predicted
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3Bates College1.32+1.58vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35+0.36vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.85-1.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.19vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy2.03-3.93vs Predicted
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8Williams College0.59-2.19vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University-0.15-1.96vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-0.25-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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4.58Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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4.36University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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3.3Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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6.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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3.07Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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5.81Williams College0.590.1%1st Place
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7.04Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.25University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Baker | 19.4% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Edward Moan | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| William Dykes | 11.7% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 21.4% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Smith | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| Hollister Poole | 23.5% | 22.0% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 9.3% |
| Sarah Hyman | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 25.3% | 31.2% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 23.4% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.