Race 5B

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mateo Farina 15.6% 14.1% 13.2% 12.3% 10.1% 7.5% 6.9% 6.7% 5.0% 3.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Griffin Gigliotti 8.2% 7.5% 7.1% 9.5% 7.3% 9.3% 8.0% 7.9% 7.7% 7.8% 6.3% 5.3% 3.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Niall Sheridan 4.2% 5.6% 5.0% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 7.1% 7.4% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.3% 6.4% 3.5% 1.1%
Griffin Lapham 3.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.5% 2.9% 4.5% 4.9% 5.9% 7.0% 6.8% 8.8% 9.8% 10.5% 11.2% 10.2% 5.1%
Nolan Cooper 3.4% 2.9% 3.5% 3.5% 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 5.7% 8.1% 7.6% 8.7% 9.2% 9.8% 9.8% 8.5% 4.2%
Brendan Smucker 3.5% 5.5% 5.1% 5.9% 5.5% 5.3% 7.5% 7.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 8.9% 8.0% 7.3% 5.1% 1.6%
Kyra Phelan 9.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.2% 10.0% 8.7% 8.9% 9.2% 7.8% 5.6% 5.5% 3.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Katharine Doble 13.7% 14.3% 12.2% 11.6% 10.9% 9.3% 7.2% 6.8% 5.1% 3.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Adam Strobridge 5.9% 4.3% 5.3% 6.3% 6.5% 7.4% 7.3% 8.1% 7.6% 8.1% 8.3% 8.6% 6.2% 5.8% 3.2% 0.9%
William Wiegand 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 4.2% 5.3% 5.3% 6.8% 6.6% 5.9% 8.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.8% 8.8% 7.5% 2.7%
Peter Joslin 13.9% 14.1% 11.9% 10.2% 9.8% 8.9% 8.7% 6.3% 5.9% 4.8% 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alexander Horne 2.1% 2.1% 3.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 5.2% 5.7% 6.0% 6.7% 8.8% 12.8% 13.8% 13.0% 7.0%
Lucas Thress 8.3% 8.9% 9.9% 9.3% 9.0% 10.2% 8.2% 7.2% 6.2% 6.3% 6.1% 5.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.3% 4.3% 4.8% 3.2% 5.0% 5.8% 6.1% 6.5% 7.1% 8.6% 8.5% 10.4% 8.8% 9.2% 5.4% 2.1%
Jack Schwab 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 3.6% 6.9% 8.9% 18.1% 46.9%
Michael Morley 0.8% 0.9% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 2.0% 2.6% 2.4% 3.6% 3.5% 4.5% 5.1% 7.8% 11.5% 23.0% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.