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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wesleyan University1.87+2.37vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.85+1.59vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.32+0.39vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.03-2.01vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35-1.76vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.25+0.19vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.62vs Predicted
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9Williams College0.59-3.25vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.15-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.59Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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4.39Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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2.99Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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4.24University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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7.19University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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6.38Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.75Williams College0.590.1%1st Place
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7.09Brandeis University-0.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Baker | 20.8% | 16.4% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 15.4% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Edward Moan | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Hollister Poole | 24.2% | 22.4% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| William Dykes | 12.6% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 23.8% | 34.6% |
| Andrew Smith | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 22.2% | 16.6% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 9.9% |
| Sarah Hyman | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 22.3% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.