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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College1.32+3.55vs Predicted
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2Wesleyan University1.87+1.65vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.03-0.79vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.85-1.54vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.39vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire1.35-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut-0.25-0.57vs Predicted
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9Williams College0.59-3.04vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University0.59-4.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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3.65Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.21Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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3.46Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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6.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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4.41University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Connecticut-0.250.0%1st Place
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5.96Williams College0.590.1%1st Place
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5.94Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Moan | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.2% |
| Brooke Baker | 16.2% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Hollister Poole | 22.7% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 20.0% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Smith | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 21.6% |
| William Dykes | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Szekalslvi | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 20.4% | 44.8% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 14.3% |
| Jacob Hardy | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 12.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.