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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Bates College1.32+2.41vs Predicted
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3Wesleyan University1.87+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.35+0.37vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy2.03-1.95vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.85-2.63vs Predicted
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7Williams College0.59-1.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.64vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University0.59-3.26vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.50-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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3.58Wesleyan University1.870.1%1st Place
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4.37University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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3.05Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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3.37Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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5.71Williams College0.590.1%1st Place
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6.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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5.74Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Moan | 12.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Baker | 14.7% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| William Dykes | 11.7% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Hollister Poole | 23.8% | 21.9% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 20.9% | 20.8% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 22.3% | 19.3% | 4.4% |
| Andrew Smith | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 32.5% | 9.1% |
| Jacob Hardy | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 18.9% | 21.2% | 5.4% |
| Timothy Donahoe | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 9.4% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.