← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bentley University-0.46+1.32vs Predicted
-
2Bates College-0.33+0.35vs Predicted
-
3Bates College-0.65-0.47vs Predicted
-
4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.68-0.23vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-1.99-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.32Bentley University-0.4630.3%1st Place
-
2.35Bates College-0.3328.4%1st Place
-
2.53Bates College-0.6526.7%1st Place
-
3.77Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.688.5%1st Place
-
4.04Bates College-1.996.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dane Phippen | 30.3% | 29.0% | 23.2% | 13.5% | 3.9% |
Harry Stevenson | 28.4% | 29.3% | 25.2% | 13.4% | 3.7% |
Greta Shuster | 26.7% | 23.9% | 24.6% | 19.0% | 5.7% |
Matthew Yoder | 8.5% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 30.6% | 36.5% |
John Hull | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 23.5% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.