← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Bates College1.32+2.42vs Predicted
-
3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+0.32vs Predicted
-
4Wesleyan University1.87-0.59vs Predicted
-
5Middlebury College1.85-1.63vs Predicted
-
6Williams College0.59-0.36vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire1.35-2.72vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-1.60vs Predicted
-
9Brandeis University0.59-3.26vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut-1.50-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.42Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
-
3.32Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
-
3.41Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
-
3.37Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
-
5.64Williams College0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.28University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
-
6.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
5.74Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Moan | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 0.7% |
| Hollister Poole | 18.3% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Baker | 20.7% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 21.0% | 17.7% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 19.9% | 5.9% |
| William Dykes | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Smith | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 31.2% | 9.3% |
| Jacob Hardy | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 21.5% | 5.4% |
| Timothy Donahoe | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 9.4% | 77.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.