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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Wesleyan University1.87+1.38vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy2.03+0.30vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.32+0.45vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College1.85-1.64vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire1.35-1.75vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University0.59-1.29vs Predicted
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8Williams College0.59-2.23vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.66vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.50-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Wesleyan University1.870.2%1st Place
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3.3Maine Maritime Academy2.030.2%1st Place
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4.45Bates College1.320.1%1st Place
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3.36Middlebury College1.850.2%1st Place
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4.25University of New Hampshire1.350.1%1st Place
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5.71Brandeis University0.590.1%1st Place
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5.77Williams College0.590.1%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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8.44University of Connecticut-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Baker | 21.1% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hollister Poole | 18.4% | 22.8% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Edward Moan | 11.2% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 20.7% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| William Dykes | 12.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Jacob Hardy | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 20.9% | 20.7% | 3.7% |
| Brent Bomkamp | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 22.3% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Smith | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 18.7% | 30.2% | 10.0% |
| Timothy Donahoe | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.