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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.79+7.40vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.77+3.13vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+1.56vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia3.54+1.67vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.84+2.90vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.35+0.27vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.52+5.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.58-2.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57-0.10vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.67+2.17vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.86+0.48vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.39+1.13vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.93-5.41vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.13+1.71vs Predicted
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15William and Mary1.27-1.82vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.92-8.18vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.73-8.51vs Predicted
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18University of Maryland-0.39-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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5.13Georgetown University3.770.1%1st Place
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4.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.27Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.47Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.580.1%1st Place
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8.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.0%1st Place
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12.17Christopher Newport University1.670.0%1st Place
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11.48Hampton University1.860.0%1st Place
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13.13SUNY Maritime College1.390.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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15.71Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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13.18William and Mary1.270.0%1st Place
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7.82Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.49Fordham University2.730.1%1st Place
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16.56University of Maryland-0.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Allsopp | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Campbell | 11.3% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 14.9% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Ricketson | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bergan | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 2.0% |
| Ian Oviatt | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Myers | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.1% |
| Shane Horsford | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Walker | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 4.6% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 13.4% | 29.0% | 29.1% |
| Jonathan Conway | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 4.4% |
| Zach Runci | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Gilson | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 8.3% | 19.6% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.