← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.42+1.55vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.57vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.78vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University1.82-0.76vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.26-0.92vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.55Georgetown University2.4229.9%1st Place
-
2.57U. S. Naval Academy2.6027.8%1st Place
-
3.78St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7911.2%1st Place
-
3.24George Washington University1.8216.6%1st Place
-
4.08Old Dominion University1.268.9%1st Place
-
4.78Christopher Newport University0.735.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 29.9% | 24.3% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 8.8% | 2.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 27.8% | 25.4% | 22.0% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.2% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 16.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 16.6% | 19.2% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 7.9% |
| Blake Goodwin | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 24.8% | 22.8% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.