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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+6.82vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.99+7.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+3.35vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.60+2.70vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.84vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.97+6.03vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.25-2.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99+0.66vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.87+0.06vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81-1.87vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.45-4.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37-2.05vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.55-7.30vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.41-1.01vs Predicted
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16University of Saint Thomas0.88-6.27vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.30-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Tufts University1.516.2%1st Place
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9.08University of Rhode Island0.994.4%1st Place
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6.35Brown University2.229.2%1st Place
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6.7Boston College1.608.2%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.6%1st Place
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12.03Salve Regina University0.972.5%1st Place
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4.48Yale University2.2517.2%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.1%1st Place
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9.06Clemson University0.875.0%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.816.3%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University1.225.3%1st Place
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7.38University of South Florida1.457.0%1st Place
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10.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.372.5%1st Place
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6.7Roger Williams University1.559.2%1st Place
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13.99The Citadel-0.411.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Saint Thomas0.883.7%1st Place
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15.42Princeton University-1.300.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Mason Stang | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan McGauley | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 7.9% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 17.2% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Emma Wang | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Max Reshetiloff | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 3.6% |
| Connor McHugh | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Henry Parker | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 27.4% | 25.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 17.2% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.