← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bates College-0.65+1.63vs Predicted
-
2Bates College-0.33+0.29vs Predicted
-
3Bentley University-0.46-0.59vs Predicted
-
4Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.48-0.39vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-1.99-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.63Bates College-0.6523.2%1st Place
-
2.29Bates College-0.3332.6%1st Place
-
2.41Bentley University-0.4627.8%1st Place
-
3.61Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.489.7%1st Place
-
4.07Bates College-1.996.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Shuster | 23.2% | 24.4% | 26.2% | 18.6% | 7.5% |
| Harry Stevenson | 32.6% | 27.2% | 22.9% | 13.7% | 3.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 27.8% | 28.2% | 24.1% | 14.7% | 5.2% |
| Dominic Ioime | 9.7% | 12.4% | 16.0% | 31.6% | 30.4% |
| John Hull | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 21.4% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.