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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+1.02vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.20+0.64vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia0.97+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound1.23-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76-1.37vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University1.52-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Washington2.790.4%1st Place
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2.64Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.23University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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3.55Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 42.1% | 30.0% | 16.6% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Casey Pruitt | 25.3% | 26.7% | 21.2% | 16.2% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.6% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 18.7% | 24.6% | 26.6% |
| Hans Vroege | 8.5% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 22.4% | 23.3% | 17.4% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 4.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 22.0% | 40.4% |
| Brian Hickman | 12.0% | 15.3% | 20.6% | 21.0% | 20.1% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.