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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+1.02vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.97+2.24vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.20-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound1.23-1.07vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.76-1.37vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University1.52-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Washington2.790.4%1st Place
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4.24University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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2.62Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.93University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.63University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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3.56Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 44.0% | 28.4% | 14.8% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.3% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 24.4% | 27.4% |
| Casey Pruitt | 24.7% | 25.6% | 24.5% | 15.7% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 23.5% | 23.0% | 18.2% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 3.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 20.8% | 40.9% |
| Brian Hickman | 12.0% | 14.1% | 21.5% | 21.1% | 21.0% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.