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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+1.03vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.20+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.76+1.50vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University1.52-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.97-0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.23-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Washington2.790.4%1st Place
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2.65Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.5University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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3.54Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.33University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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3.95University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 42.2% | 29.1% | 17.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 25.3% | 26.5% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 25.2% | 34.9% |
| Brian Hickman | 11.8% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 19.4% | 10.9% |
| Neil Roberts | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 22.9% | 30.4% |
| Hans Vroege | 8.5% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 20.9% | 22.2% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.