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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+6.34vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.78vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+6.16vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+6.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+2.30vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.79+4.01vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90+0.43vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.51+0.66vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.81+2.12vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.62+1.90vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.82vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.12-2.09vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.75-5.12vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-0.87vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.62vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.73-5.99vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.36-3.91vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.49-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Stanford University2.618.8%1st Place
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7.78St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.8%1st Place
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9.16Boston College2.565.2%1st Place
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10.63North Carolina State University1.784.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University2.859.2%1st Place
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10.01Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College2.908.9%1st Place
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8.66SUNY Maritime College2.516.5%1st Place
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11.12Old Dominion University1.812.8%1st Place
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11.9Florida State University1.622.4%1st Place
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9.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.3%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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7.88Georgetown University2.757.4%1st Place
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13.13George Washington University1.271.9%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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10.01Webb Institute1.734.8%1st Place
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13.09University of Wisconsin1.362.1%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston2.497.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Adam Larson | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 22.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 22.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.