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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia0.97+2.21vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.20-1.39vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.52-1.47vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound1.23-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Washington2.790.4%1st Place
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4.21University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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2.61Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.53Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.59University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 43.6% | 29.6% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.5% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 25.4% | 25.9% |
| Casey Pruitt | 24.4% | 26.9% | 23.0% | 17.0% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Brian Hickman | 13.2% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 11.1% |
| Hans Vroege | 7.4% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 24.7% | 20.9% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 22.3% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.