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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+6.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.19vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.12+5.95vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+4.04vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+1.93vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+4.42vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-0.58vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.49-0.74vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.59vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.36+1.99vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.33vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.27-0.19vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.73-4.16vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.78-4.37vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.62-3.99vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-7.07vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Georgetown University2.758.1%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.0%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University2.125.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston College2.565.9%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.4%1st Place
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11.42Old Dominion University1.813.0%1st Place
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7.42Stanford University2.618.6%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston2.496.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Wisconsin1.362.4%1st Place
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8.67SUNY Maritime College2.516.6%1st Place
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12.81George Washington University1.272.5%1st Place
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9.84Webb Institute1.734.4%1st Place
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10.63North Carolina State University1.784.2%1st Place
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12.01Florida State University1.622.7%1st Place
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9.93Boston University1.794.9%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% |
| Reed Weston | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 20.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 20.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Adam Larson | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.