← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.79+1.01vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University2.20+0.64vs Predicted
-
3University of British Columbia0.97+1.24vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon0.76+0.53vs Predicted
-
5Oregon State University1.52-1.38vs Predicted
-
7University of Puget Sound1.23-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.01University of Washington2.790.4%1st Place
-
2.64Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
-
4.24University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.53University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
-
3.62Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.95University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 42.1% | 30.6% | 16.2% | 7.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Casey Pruitt | 26.0% | 26.7% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.5% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 24.0% | 26.8% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 5.2% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 23.1% | 36.1% |
| Brian Hickman | 10.7% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 13.5% |
| Hans Vroege | 8.5% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 19.6% | 23.4% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.