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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+9.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+7.04vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.51+5.34vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.40vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+2.39vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.26vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+3.24vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-0.42vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.62+2.97vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.85-2.73vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.81+0.45vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-1.17vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.49-4.92vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.27-1.00vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.90-7.79vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.73-6.13vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.36-3.95vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.75-10.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21Tufts University2.124.4%1st Place
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9.04Boston College2.565.6%1st Place
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8.34SUNY Maritime College2.516.8%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.9%1st Place
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7.39Stanford University2.618.5%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.3%1st Place
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10.24Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
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7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.1%1st Place
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11.97Florida State University1.622.5%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.8510.1%1st Place
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11.45Old Dominion University1.812.9%1st Place
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10.83North Carolina State University1.782.9%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston2.496.3%1st Place
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13.0George Washington University1.271.9%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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9.87Webb Institute1.734.5%1st Place
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13.05University of Wisconsin1.362.5%1st Place
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7.8Georgetown University2.757.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% |
| Adam Larson | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 21.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Reed Weston | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 22.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.