← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.79+1.01vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University2.20+0.64vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon0.76+1.51vs Predicted
-
4University of British Columbia0.97+0.27vs Predicted
-
5University of Puget Sound1.23-0.98vs Predicted
-
7Oregon State University1.52-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.01University of Washington2.790.4%1st Place
-
2.64Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
-
4.51University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
-
4.27University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
-
4.02University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
-
3.55Oregon State University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 42.1% | 30.1% | 16.8% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 25.7% | 26.1% | 21.5% | 15.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 24.9% | 35.6% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 18.8% | 23.6% | 27.7% |
| Hans Vroege | 7.9% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 22.2% | 21.5% |
| Brian Hickman | 11.8% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 23.0% | 18.7% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.