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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.23+1.67vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.20-0.54vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.64+0.46vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.97-0.85vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Washington2.790.5%1st Place
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3.67University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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2.46Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.46Oregon State University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.15University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 47.5% | 29.0% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.1% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 22.3% | 21.0% | 12.2% |
| Casey Pruitt | 26.0% | 30.0% | 23.4% | 14.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Ciara Anderson | 5.9% | 6.7% | 12.3% | 19.1% | 23.1% | 32.9% |
| Neil Roberts | 5.7% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 23.2% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 5.8% | 6.7% | 16.1% | 16.5% | 25.6% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.