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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+0.91vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.20+0.47vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.64+1.42vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia0.97+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.76-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.23-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Washington2.790.5%1st Place
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2.47Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.42Oregon State University0.640.1%1st Place
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4.07University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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3.72University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 45.7% | 30.1% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Casey Pruitt | 27.4% | 29.8% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Ciara Anderson | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 25.3% | 31.5% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.7% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 22.5% | 22.9% | 20.6% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 4.7% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 23.9% | 31.7% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.5% | 12.8% | 21.0% | 22.8% | 20.8% | 13.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.