← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+8.14vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.90+5.03vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.61+4.17vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.49+4.22vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.56+3.90vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.41+2.65vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.19vs Predicted
-
8Webb Institute1.30+5.06vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.86+2.01vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.81+1.38vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University1.62+0.78vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University1.78-1.17vs Predicted
-
13SUNY Maritime College2.51-4.63vs Predicted
-
14Brown University2.85-6.98vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-7.33vs Predicted
-
16Boston University1.79-5.95vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.12-7.09vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin1.36-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
-
7.03Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
-
7.17Stanford University2.619.6%1st Place
-
8.22College of Charleston2.496.7%1st Place
-
8.9Boston College2.565.3%1st Place
-
8.65Georgetown University2.416.5%1st Place
-
8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
-
13.06Webb Institute1.302.5%1st Place
-
11.01George Washington University1.862.9%1st Place
-
11.38Old Dominion University1.813.2%1st Place
-
11.78Florida State University1.622.4%1st Place
-
10.83North Carolina State University1.784.0%1st Place
-
8.37SUNY Maritime College2.516.8%1st Place
-
7.02Brown University2.859.3%1st Place
-
7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.6%1st Place
-
10.05Boston University1.795.8%1st Place
-
9.91Tufts University2.124.3%1st Place
-
12.62University of Wisconsin1.362.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Scott Mais | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 23.3% |
| Owen Timms | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% |
| Adam Larson | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Reed Weston | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 13.5% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.