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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+6.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.04vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+7.67vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+4.06vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.64vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.41+2.88vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.30+5.88vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-0.71vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.81+2.41vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79-0.01vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.91vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.58vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-5.74vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.62-2.28vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.56-6.11vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.12-6.18vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.36-4.19vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.86-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Dartmouth College2.908.2%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.4%1st Place
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10.67North Carolina State University1.784.0%1st Place
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8.06College of Charleston2.497.4%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.6%1st Place
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8.88Georgetown University2.416.5%1st Place
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12.88Webb Institute1.301.9%1st Place
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7.29Stanford University2.618.3%1st Place
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11.41Old Dominion University1.813.2%1st Place
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9.99Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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8.42SUNY Maritime College2.516.7%1st Place
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7.26Brown University2.858.9%1st Place
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11.72Florida State University1.623.1%1st Place
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8.89Boston College2.566.4%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
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12.81University of Wisconsin1.362.1%1st Place
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11.11George Washington University1.863.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Adam Larson | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Scott Mais | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Everett Botwinick | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 23.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 20.8% |
| Owen Timms | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.