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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+0.91vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.23+1.68vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.64+1.43vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.20-2.54vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia0.97-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.76-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Washington2.790.5%1st Place
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3.68University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.43Oregon State University0.640.1%1st Place
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2.46Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.14University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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4.38University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 46.9% | 28.4% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.5% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 22.1% | 20.7% | 12.9% |
| Ciara Anderson | 6.3% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 17.2% | 25.4% | 31.7% |
| Casey Pruitt | 25.7% | 29.4% | 25.0% | 13.6% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 24.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 4.6% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 18.2% | 24.7% | 29.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.