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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.11vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.41+6.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+4.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.14vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+1.83vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+2.91vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.49+0.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12+0.96vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.61-2.82vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.51-2.61vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.36-0.24vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.86-2.94vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.81-3.77vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.78-5.51vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.62-5.04vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.30-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Brown University2.858.9%1st Place
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8.78Georgetown University2.416.5%1st Place
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7.09Dartmouth College2.909.4%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.6%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.8%1st Place
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9.91Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
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8.02College of Charleston2.496.7%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University2.125.2%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University2.618.6%1st Place
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8.39SUNY Maritime College2.516.6%1st Place
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9.01Boston College2.566.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Wisconsin1.362.1%1st Place
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11.06George Washington University1.863.7%1st Place
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11.23Old Dominion University1.813.4%1st Place
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10.49North Carolina State University1.783.5%1st Place
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11.96Florida State University1.622.4%1st Place
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13.14Webb Institute1.301.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Scott Mais | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 19.2% |
| Owen Timms | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
| Adam Larson | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% |
| Everett Botwinick | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.