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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.20+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound1.23+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.76+0.34vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.97-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.79-4.06vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.64-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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3.69University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Oregon0.760.1%1st Place
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4.05University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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1.94University of Washington2.790.5%1st Place
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4.47Oregon State University0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Pruitt | 25.0% | 31.4% | 21.4% | 14.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.4% | 13.9% | 22.0% | 21.5% | 19.6% | 13.6% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 6.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 24.4% | 29.8% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.9% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 22.5% | 23.9% | 20.3% |
| Karl Haelsig | 46.2% | 27.3% | 16.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Ciara Anderson | 5.3% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 17.6% | 23.5% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.