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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+5.18vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.55+4.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.25+1.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.60+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+3.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+2.41vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37+4.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.15vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.45-1.53vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.87-0.91vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.97+0.92vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.51-4.20vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.41+0.93vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.22-5.35vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-5.93vs Predicted
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16University of Saint Thomas0.88-6.29vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.30-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Brown University2.2210.1%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University1.558.2%1st Place
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4.45Yale University2.2517.9%1st Place
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6.31Boston College1.609.6%1st Place
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8.89University of Rhode Island0.994.2%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.6%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.373.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.2%1st Place
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7.47University of South Florida1.456.6%1st Place
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9.09Clemson University0.874.2%1st Place
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11.92Salve Regina University0.972.1%1st Place
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7.8Tufts University1.517.2%1st Place
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13.93The Citadel-0.411.1%1st Place
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8.65Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.995.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Saint Thomas0.883.5%1st Place
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15.41Princeton University-1.300.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Stang | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor McHugh | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 17.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.6% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Emma Wang | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Max Reshetiloff | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 4.3% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 7.4% |
| Clark Morris | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Henry Parker | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 12.8% | 28.2% | 23.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Reed McAllister | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 16.5% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.