← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+6.10vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College4.15+5.60vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+6.45vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.61+4.78vs Predicted
-
6Boston College4.92-1.06vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College4.06+1.25vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University4.33-0.93vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania3.63+0.53vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.82vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston4.34-4.02vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida4.10-3.85vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-5.92vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University3.53-3.72vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.48-1.37vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.71-6.62vs Predicted
-
17Boston University3.56-6.95vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University1.57-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
-
7.6SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
-
10.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
-
9.78Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
-
4.94Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
-
8.25Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
-
7.07Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
-
9.53University of Pennsylvania3.630.0%1st Place
-
7.18U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
-
6.98College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
-
8.15University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
-
7.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
-
10.28Fordham University3.530.0%1st Place
-
13.63Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
9.38Roger Williams University3.710.0%1st Place
-
10.05Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
-
15.55Northwestern University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Gary Herring | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Taylor Canfield | 16.7% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Halsey Richartz | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Robert Vann | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Hall | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Leighton | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Carl Shorett | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.6% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 29.1% | 20.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| Justin Cohler | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 15.1% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.