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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+9.62vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.32vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+7.03vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.90+3.16vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+3.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+3.85vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.51+1.47vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.85-0.83vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.30+4.18vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.81+1.18vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.62+0.72vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.49-3.92vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.61-5.96vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.41-5.32vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.86-3.89vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.83vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-9.33vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.36-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.62North Carolina State University1.784.5%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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10.03Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College2.908.9%1st Place
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8.9Boston College2.565.6%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Maritime College2.516.0%1st Place
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7.17Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
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13.18Webb Institute1.301.9%1st Place
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11.18Old Dominion University1.814.0%1st Place
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11.72Florida State University1.622.9%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston2.497.6%1st Place
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7.04Stanford University2.619.8%1st Place
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8.68Georgetown University2.415.7%1st Place
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11.11George Washington University1.863.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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7.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.8%1st Place
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12.66University of Wisconsin1.362.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 24.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Scott Mais | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Owen Timms | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Reed Weston | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 19.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.