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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.78+2.29vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.64+1.45vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.20-1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound1.23-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.97-2.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9University of Washington2.790.5%1st Place
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4.29University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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4.45Oregon State University0.640.1%1st Place
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2.46Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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3.8University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.09University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 47.5% | 27.4% | 15.9% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 22.1% | 28.6% |
| Ciara Anderson | 6.6% | 6.4% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 24.6% | 32.6% |
| Casey Pruitt | 25.6% | 31.5% | 22.6% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 0.9% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.0% | 12.4% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 20.8% | 15.7% |
| Neil Roberts | 5.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 21.5% | 23.6% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.