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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+8.63vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+9.80vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+8.28vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.36+8.76vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41+3.67vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+1.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.49+0.92vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-0.95vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.16vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.79-1.22vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-3.25vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-5.99vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.90-6.93vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.78-4.44vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute1.30-2.95vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.27-4.34vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.51-9.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.63Tufts University2.125.5%1st Place
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11.8Florida State University1.622.8%1st Place
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11.28Old Dominion University1.813.2%1st Place
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12.76University of Wisconsin1.362.4%1st Place
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8.67Georgetown University2.415.7%1st Place
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7.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.2%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston2.497.7%1st Place
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7.05Stanford University2.618.6%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.8%1st Place
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9.78Boston University1.795.2%1st Place
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8.75Boston College2.566.7%1st Place
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7.01Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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7.07Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
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10.56North Carolina State University1.783.5%1st Place
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13.05Webb Institute1.302.0%1st Place
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12.66George Washington University1.272.1%1st Place
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8.46SUNY Maritime College2.516.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Reed Weston | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 17.4% |
| Scott Mais | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Adam Larson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 21.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 16.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.