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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+0.88vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound1.23+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.78+0.29vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.97-0.86vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.64-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Washington2.790.5%1st Place
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2.49Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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3.69University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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4.14University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
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4.51Oregon State University0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 46.6% | 30.2% | 15.1% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Casey Pruitt | 27.7% | 29.1% | 20.7% | 14.0% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.5% | 13.7% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 21.6% | 12.3% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 5.5% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 25.0% | 26.4% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.3% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 22.8% | 22.1% | 23.5% |
| Ciara Anderson | 4.4% | 7.2% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 23.0% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.