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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+7.07vs Predicted
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2Florida State University1.62+9.60vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.79+6.73vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+6.45vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41+3.45vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+1.19vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+4.33vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.36+4.69vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12+0.77vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.61-2.86vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.55vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.51-3.71vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-6.08vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.56-5.17vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-7.59vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.27-3.30vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.96vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.30-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07College of Charleston2.497.6%1st Place
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11.6Florida State University1.622.9%1st Place
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9.73Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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10.45North Carolina State University1.783.6%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University2.416.1%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College2.908.4%1st Place
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11.33Old Dominion University1.813.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Wisconsin1.362.5%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
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7.14Stanford University2.619.0%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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8.29SUNY Maritime College2.517.0%1st Place
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6.92Brown University2.859.6%1st Place
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8.83Boston College2.566.2%1st Place
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7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.8%1st Place
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12.7George Washington University1.271.9%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
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12.94Webb Institute1.302.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Adam Larson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Scott Mais | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% |
| Reed Weston | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 19.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 17.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.