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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+0.89vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.20+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Puget Sound1.23+0.71vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.78+0.30vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.64-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.97-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Washington2.790.5%1st Place
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2.49Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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3.71University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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4.54Oregon State University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.07University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 46.2% | 30.4% | 15.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Casey Pruitt | 27.5% | 29.3% | 20.1% | 15.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.7% | 13.3% | 20.8% | 21.1% | 22.5% | 12.6% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 5.3% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 24.4% | 26.9% |
| Ciara Anderson | 4.3% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 17.7% | 22.8% | 35.7% |
| Neil Roberts | 7.0% | 9.9% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.