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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+6.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.76vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+6.85vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.61+3.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+4.03vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.81+5.30vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.49+1.08vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+1.82vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.41-0.36vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.51-1.56vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-3.99vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.56-2.88vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.36-0.13vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.30-0.94vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.86-4.16vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.62-4.05vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.78-6.35vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Dartmouth College2.909.7%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.1%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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7.19Stanford University2.619.8%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.7%1st Place
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11.3Old Dominion University1.813.3%1st Place
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8.08College of Charleston2.497.0%1st Place
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9.82Boston University1.794.8%1st Place
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8.64Georgetown University2.415.3%1st Place
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8.44SUNY Maritime College2.516.3%1st Place
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7.01Brown University2.8510.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston College2.565.5%1st Place
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12.87University of Wisconsin1.362.1%1st Place
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13.06Webb Institute1.301.6%1st Place
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10.84George Washington University1.863.1%1st Place
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11.95Florida State University1.623.2%1st Place
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10.65North Carolina State University1.783.7%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Scott Mais | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 20.2% |
| Everett Botwinick | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 24.0% |
| Owen Timms | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% |
| Adam Larson | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.