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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+0.91vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.20+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.78+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound1.23-0.28vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.64-1.44vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia0.97-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91University of Washington2.790.5%1st Place
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2.48Western Washington University2.200.3%1st Place
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4.26University of Oregon0.780.1%1st Place
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3.72University of Puget Sound1.230.1%1st Place
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4.56Oregon State University0.640.0%1st Place
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4.08University of British Columbia0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 46.0% | 29.7% | 15.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Casey Pruitt | 26.9% | 30.2% | 20.7% | 14.5% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Charles Shoemaker | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 25.1% | 26.3% |
| Hans Vroege | 9.2% | 12.9% | 21.1% | 22.7% | 21.5% | 12.6% |
| Ciara Anderson | 4.5% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 17.6% | 22.5% | 36.5% |
| Neil Roberts | 6.7% | 10.8% | 17.4% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.