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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+0.99vs Predicted
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2Oregon State University0.85+1.30vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.19-1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.46-0.23vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia-0.35-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.3Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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1.94University of Washington2.190.4%1st Place
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3.77University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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4.7University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 38.0% | 35.4% | 18.2% | 7.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Austin Sandifer | 9.4% | 17.3% | 28.7% | 26.2% | 15.0% | 3.4% |
| Zachary Forcade | 41.6% | 31.9% | 19.1% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eliza Pearce | 7.4% | 8.7% | 21.1% | 32.5% | 23.0% | 7.3% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 2.2% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 18.7% | 35.8% | 29.6% |
| William Service | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 24.1% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.