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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+6.61vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.30+11.17vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.81+8.21vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.49+4.15vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.90+2.21vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61+1.23vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+1.31vs Predicted
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8Florida State University1.62+3.80vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.60vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.56-1.09vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-1.18vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin1.36+0.73vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.86-1.97vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.78-3.55vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-7.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-6.93vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-6.93vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.41-9.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.1%1st Place
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13.17Webb Institute1.302.1%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University1.813.0%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston2.497.3%1st Place
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7.21Dartmouth College2.908.7%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University2.617.5%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.5%1st Place
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11.8Florida State University1.623.1%1st Place
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8.4SUNY Maritime College2.517.1%1st Place
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8.91Boston College2.565.7%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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12.73University of Wisconsin1.362.2%1st Place
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11.03George Washington University1.863.8%1st Place
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10.45North Carolina State University1.784.0%1st Place
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7.19Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.4%1st Place
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10.07Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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8.65Georgetown University2.415.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Everett Botwinick | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 22.5% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% |
| Noah Zittrer | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Joey Meagher | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.0% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Reed Weston | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 20.0% |
| Owen Timms | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% |
| Adam Larson | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% |
| Scott Mais | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.