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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.21+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.19-0.04vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University0.85+0.30vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.46-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-1.01-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia-0.35-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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1.96University of Washington2.190.4%1st Place
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3.3Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Oregon0.460.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.69University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter McGrath | 38.2% | 36.6% | 18.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Forcade | 41.8% | 31.3% | 18.5% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 10.9% | 15.0% | 27.9% | 28.5% | 14.5% | 3.2% |
| Eliza Pearce | 5.8% | 10.4% | 21.5% | 32.2% | 22.3% | 7.8% |
| William Service | 0.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 21.9% | 60.9% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 2.5% | 4.0% | 8.8% | 19.4% | 37.3% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.