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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.12+9.16vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+7.12vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+5.49vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.41+4.81vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+2.37vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.90+1.31vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+3.36vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-0.65vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.08vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.86+1.04vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.49-2.68vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.81-0.46vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.78-2.38vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.62-2.00vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.56-5.89vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.51-7.31vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute1.73-7.24vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.36-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.16Tufts University2.124.8%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.4%1st Place
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8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.0%1st Place
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8.81Georgetown University2.416.4%1st Place
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7.37Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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7.31Dartmouth College2.909.2%1st Place
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10.36Boston University1.794.1%1st Place
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7.35Stanford University2.6110.2%1st Place
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7.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.2%1st Place
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11.04George Washington University1.864.0%1st Place
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8.32College of Charleston2.496.5%1st Place
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11.54Old Dominion University1.813.0%1st Place
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10.62North Carolina State University1.783.8%1st Place
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12.0Florida State University1.622.7%1st Place
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9.11Boston College2.565.7%1st Place
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8.69SUNY Maritime College2.515.1%1st Place
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9.76Webb Institute1.735.8%1st Place
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13.04University of Wisconsin1.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Davis | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Scott Mais | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Owen Timms | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% |
| Adam Larson | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.