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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.79+9.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.49+6.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.12+7.30vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+3.16vs Predicted
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6Florida State University1.62+5.95vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.90+0.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.86+3.38vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.51-0.54vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.41-1.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.99vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.61-4.49vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.81-1.51vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute1.73-4.09vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.85-7.55vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.78-5.36vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.56-7.85vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.36-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.23Boston University1.795.0%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston2.496.0%1st Place
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10.3Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
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7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.659.0%1st Place
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8.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
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11.95Florida State University1.622.8%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.908.5%1st Place
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11.38George Washington University1.862.9%1st Place
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8.46SUNY Maritime College2.517.0%1st Place
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8.84Georgetown University2.415.9%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.2%1st Place
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7.51Stanford University2.618.2%1st Place
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11.49Old Dominion University1.813.2%1st Place
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9.91Webb Institute1.734.9%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.858.0%1st Place
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10.64North Carolina State University1.783.9%1st Place
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9.15Boston College2.565.9%1st Place
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13.03University of Wisconsin1.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Owen Timms | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Scott Mais | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Adam Larson | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.