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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia-0.35+3.37vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.21-0.15vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.19-1.15vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.85-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.63-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.37University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
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1.85Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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1.85University of Washington2.190.4%1st Place
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3.12Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.73University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 2.7% | 5.0% | 12.7% | 30.4% | 30.2% | 19.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 42.0% | 37.4% | 15.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 42.4% | 35.9% | 16.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Austin Sandifer | 9.9% | 15.6% | 40.5% | 22.8% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Jackson Thomas | 1.8% | 3.7% | 8.8% | 23.1% | 30.6% | 32.0% |
| William Service | 1.2% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 15.8% | 28.0% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.