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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.28+0.82vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.63+2.66vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.21-1.15vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.85-0.89vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia-0.35-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound-1.01-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82University of Washington2.280.4%1st Place
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4.66University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
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1.85Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.11Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
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4.47University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.09University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Parish | 42.8% | 36.9% | 16.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Thomas | 1.9% | 3.8% | 9.6% | 24.3% | 32.1% | 28.3% |
| Peter McGrath | 41.4% | 37.1% | 17.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 10.4% | 15.0% | 39.1% | 25.4% | 9.0% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 2.1% | 5.3% | 12.4% | 26.2% | 31.7% | 22.3% |
| William Service | 1.4% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 17.4% | 25.7% | 48.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.