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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.78+9.64vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.79+8.07vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.41+5.78vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+3.09vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.34vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.73+3.90vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.41+1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin1.36+4.70vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-1.68vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-2.17vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.12-0.92vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.49-3.80vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.62-1.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.65vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.56-6.05vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.81-4.50vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-7.83vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.86-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64North Carolina State University1.784.3%1st Place
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10.07Boston University1.794.3%1st Place
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8.78Stanford University2.416.3%1st Place
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7.09Brown University2.859.0%1st Place
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8.34SUNY Maritime College2.516.0%1st Place
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9.9Webb Institute1.733.9%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University2.415.8%1st Place
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12.7University of Wisconsin1.362.9%1st Place
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7.32Dartmouth College2.908.8%1st Place
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7.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.0%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
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8.2College of Charleston2.498.1%1st Place
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11.93Florida State University1.622.4%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.8%1st Place
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8.95Boston College2.566.1%1st Place
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11.5Old Dominion University1.813.1%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.9%1st Place
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11.27George Washington University1.863.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larson | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Justin Lim | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Scott Mais | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Reed Weston | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 21.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Joey Meagher | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Owen Timms | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.