← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.38+6.99vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.55+4.56vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+7.90vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.40+4.57vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+2.41vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.82+4.19vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.09+2.03vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.75-1.21vs Predicted
-
9Boston University1.65+1.80vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.67vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.91-5.12vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University1.57-0.09vs Predicted
-
13Webb Institute1.43-1.83vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University1.95-3.85vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College0.42-5.04vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University2.22-7.46vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin1.09-3.93vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University0.91-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.99College of Charleston2.386.3%1st Place
-
6.56Stanford University2.5511.0%1st Place
-
10.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.9%1st Place
-
8.57Boston College2.404.8%1st Place
-
7.41St. Mary's College of Maryland2.577.3%1st Place
-
10.19George Washington University1.823.8%1st Place
-
9.03Georgetown University2.095.1%1st Place
-
6.79Dartmouth College2.759.8%1st Place
-
10.8Boston University1.653.0%1st Place
-
6.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.4811.1%1st Place
-
5.88Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
-
11.91Old Dominion University1.572.5%1st Place
-
11.17Webb Institute1.432.7%1st Place
-
10.15Florida State University1.953.7%1st Place
-
9.96SUNY Maritime College0.424.5%1st Place
-
8.54Tufts University2.225.5%1st Place
-
13.07University of Wisconsin1.091.6%1st Place
-
15.75North Carolina State University0.911.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Wiley Rogers | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Edward Cook | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Parker Purrington | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Payne Donaldson | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Abe Weston | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 13.4% |
| Hogan O'Donnell | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.