← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington2.28+0.85vs Predicted
-
2Oregon State University0.85+1.12vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University2.21-1.14vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-0.63+0.67vs Predicted
-
5University of Puget Sound-1.01+0.09vs Predicted
-
7University of British Columbia-0.35-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.85University of Washington2.280.4%1st Place
-
3.12Oregon State University0.850.1%1st Place
-
1.86Western Washington University2.210.4%1st Place
-
4.67University of Oregon-0.630.0%1st Place
-
5.09University of Puget Sound-1.010.0%1st Place
-
4.42University of British Columbia-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Parish | 42.7% | 35.5% | 17.0% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Sandifer | 10.3% | 16.9% | 37.6% | 23.7% | 9.2% | 2.3% |
| Peter McGrath | 41.9% | 36.2% | 16.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Thomas | 1.6% | 4.4% | 9.2% | 23.2% | 33.0% | 28.6% |
| William Service | 1.2% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 15.3% | 25.2% | 49.4% |
| Alexander Kroitzsch | 2.3% | 4.3% | 13.1% | 29.5% | 31.2% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.