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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.55+5.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.25+2.54vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+9.08vs Predicted
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4Boston College1.60+2.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+4.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.81+2.24vs Predicted
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7Clemson University0.87+2.10vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-0.25vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.22-0.32vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.22-3.87vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.51-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.45-4.68vs Predicted
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13University of Saint Thomas0.88-3.39vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-5.09vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37-4.14vs Predicted
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16The Citadel-0.41-2.04vs Predicted
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17Princeton University-1.30-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Roger Williams University1.558.6%1st Place
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4.54Yale University2.2517.3%1st Place
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12.08Salve Regina University0.972.4%1st Place
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6.32Boston College1.609.8%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island0.994.6%1st Place
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8.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.815.8%1st Place
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9.1Clemson University0.874.3%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.736.7%1st Place
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8.68Northeastern University1.224.9%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.229.3%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University1.516.2%1st Place
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7.32University of South Florida1.457.4%1st Place
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9.61University of Saint Thomas0.883.9%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.994.8%1st Place
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10.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.372.7%1st Place
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13.96The Citadel-0.410.9%1st Place
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15.47Princeton University-1.300.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor McHugh | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 17.3% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 7.0% |
| Ryan McGauley | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Emma Wang | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Hnatt | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Luke Zylinski | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Mason Stang | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Clark Morris | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Greg Bittle | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Reed McAllister | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Max Reshetiloff | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
| Henry Parker | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 29.0% | 23.6% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 58.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.